Can an Algorithm Predict a Musical Hit?

Can an algorithm predict hits? The Music Intelligence Solutions' Hit Song Science technology suggests yes. The program analyses popular songs for rhythm, harmony, and underlying patterns, and enters this information into a matrix where it's compared against old successful tracks. If a song scores higher than a seven, it's considered a possible hit. So far, the program has been accurate 80 percent of the time—the music industry has only a 10 percent success rate in predicting future singles—and has correctly identified previous chart toppers, including Outkast's "Hey Ya!" "The songs that score the best include a certain amount of unpredictability in the music," Music Intelligence Solutions CEO David Meredith said.

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